Quilmes II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
36.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 1
VEL
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 2
IND
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
QUI
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 1
LAN
44%
23%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
BOC
2 - 2
QUI
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 3
NOB
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
3 - 3
SAR
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
SAR
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
RIV
19%
22%
60%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +2 |