Quilmes II vs Patronato II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 1
QUI
57%
21%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 1
COL
38%
23%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 2
HUR
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 0
QUI
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
QUI
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
GLP
2 - 3
PAT
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 2
SLO
18%
23%
60%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |