Quilmes II vs Newells Old Boys II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
65.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BOC
2 - 0
QUI
85%
11%
5%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 3
LAN
15%
21%
64%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ABR
1 - 4
QUI
29%
24%
48%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
QUI
4 - 1
ARS
21%
22%
57%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TIG
2 - 0
QUI
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newells Old Boys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
NOB
0 - 1
ARG
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 0
NOB
44%
24%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 1
NOB
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NOB
3 - 0
OLI
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NOB
1 - 0
EST
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |