Quick Boys vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quick Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
NOO
2 - 3
QUI
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 3
ASW
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 3
QUI
22%
24%
55%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 4
QUI
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
QUI
1 - 3
EXC
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
UTR
1 - 0
WIL
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 3
WIL
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 1
FEY
20%
22%
58%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +2 |