Quick '20 vs MSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEB
1 - 2
QUI
20%
22%
59%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
DIE
74%
16%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ACH
0 - 5
QUI
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 0
HOL
69%
17%
13%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 10
SOU
11%
21%
68%
|
44 | 86 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MSC
6 - 2
ROH
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
JUL
3 - 2
MSC
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MSC
1 - 4
BEQ
61%
20%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -3 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SIL
1 - 0
MSC
22%
20%
58%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MSC
1 - 1
ACH
79%
14%
8%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |