Quick '20 vs LONGA '30 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
13.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
16º
9º
30
11º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BUI
0 - 2
QUI
32%
23%
46%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
QUI
1 - 1
HEI
69%
16%
14%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
QUI
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
QUI
0 - 0
MAS
62%
17%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
QUI
4 - 3
AZS
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
LONGA '30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LON
0 - 2
EXC
14%
22%
64%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SDV
0 - 1
LON
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TVC
1 - 0
LON
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LON
0 - 3
VVS
13%
20%
68%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ROH
1 - 0
LON
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |