Quick '20 vs Hilversum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
5 - 1
DET
30%
26%
45%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 2
JVC
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
EVV
3 - 1
QUI
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 2
HAA
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 3
QUI
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hilversum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
HAA
5 - 0
HIL
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
HIL
5 - 1
AFC
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FCO
2 - 1
HIL
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
HIL
0 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
JVC
2 - 3
HIL
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |