Quick '20 vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MSC
3 - 2
QUI
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
3 - 2
DEB
71%
17%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
DIE
1 - 4
QUI
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
QUI
3 - 1
ACH
90%
8%
3%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ROH
1 - 3
QUI
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 2
RKH
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 1
HOL
38%
25%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
JUL
1 - 0
ALV
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MSC
1 - 1
ALV
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALV
1 - 1
BEQ
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |