Quick '20 vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NIE
1 - 4
QUI
16%
21%
62%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 0
WKE
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 1
BAB
69%
18%
12%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 4
BEQ
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
JOU
0 - 3
QUI
12%
19%
69%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ALC
3 - 0
WKE
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
BAB
3 - 0
ALC
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
HSC
2 - 2
ALC
69%
18%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 1
BEQ
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 2
LIE
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -2 |