Quick '20 vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
JOU
0 - 2
QUI
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
QUI
4 - 1
LIE
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 0
HSC
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
WSV
2 - 4
QUI
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
WKE
4 - 0
QUI
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 0
DEB
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ACH
2 - 0
ALC
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
JOU
3 - 1
ALC
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
WSV
2 - 2
ALC
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 3
QUI
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |