Quick '20 vs Achilles '12 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.5%
Win probability
4.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.7%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.4%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
5.1%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.1%
2.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+98%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
1º
35
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SVI
2 - 3
QUI
15%
16%
69%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
QUI
0 - 3
SPA
10%
17%
73%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 1
QUI
87%
10%
4%
|
39 | 89 | 50 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
JOS
6 - 1
QUI
42%
23%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LEO
2 - 2
QUI
38%
21%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Achilles '12
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 2
DZO
45%
22%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ACH
2 - 1
RIG
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GER
1 - 0
ACH
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ACH
3 - 0
BAB
25%
23%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GRO
6 - 1
ACH
69%
18%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |