QRM vs Siroco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 3
QUE
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 0
ASB
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
IRI
0 - 1
QUE
40%
25%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 0
DIE
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ROY
1 - 4
QUE
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Siroco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
SIR
41%
28%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SIR
0 - 0
USR
52%
25%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
CSL
4 - 2
SIR
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CLU
0 - 4
SIR
54%
22%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SIR
2 - 1
ARS
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |