QRM vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 0
QUE
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
QUE
4 - 2
CHE
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 1
QUE
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
QUE
1 - 3
NÎM
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
RED
0 - 1
QUE
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SPI
1 - 3
ORL
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 1
SPI
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SPI
2 - 1
NIO
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SPI
2 - 1
BRC
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PFC
6 - 0
SPI
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |