QRM vs Lille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 0
SIR
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 3
QUE
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 0
ASB
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
IRI
0 - 1
QUE
40%
25%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 0
DIE
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LIL
2 - 2
LEN
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LIL
4 - 0
ROM
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 2
LIL
22%
25%
52%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASB
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
IRI
1 - 0
LIL
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |