QRM vs Lille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DRA
0 - 2
QUE
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 1
MAN
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
PSG
0 - 0
QUE
31%
26%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
QUE
2 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ASB
2 - 1
QUE
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 2
LIL
47%
27%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LIL
6 - 1
LEN
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LIL
0 - 0
ROY
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 1
LIL
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LIL
2 - 0
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |