QRM vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
72.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 0
DIE
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ROY
2 - 2
QUE
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
QUE
4 - 0
AUB
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 0
QUE
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 0
ARR
53%
23%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
AUX
1 - 2
LEN
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 0
ASN
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
CLE
2 - 2
LEN
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 1
STL
45%
29%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
ETG
2 - 1
LEN
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |