QRM vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LIL
2 - 1
QUE
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 0
DRA
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
QUE
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 3
PSG
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
QUE
19%
25%
57%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
LEN
3 - 0
LIL
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
LEN
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
AAC
2 - 1
LEN
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 1
DIE
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LEN
3 - 2
IVR
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |