QRM vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
TRE
0 - 1
QUE
26%
23%
51%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
QUE
1 - 1
LEH
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MET
2 - 2
QUE
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
QUE
5 - 1
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
QUE
1 - 1
LIL
67%
20%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
LEN
32%
29%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LEN
2 - 0
CAB
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 3
LEN
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
LEN
0 - 0
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SEN
1 - 1
LEN
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |