QRM vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
BOU
1 - 1
QUE
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
QUE
0 - 0
USB
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
QUE
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
ROD
0 - 1
QUE
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
QUE
0 - 0
TOU
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
TOU
0 - 0
DRA
69%
20%
12%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
DRA
0 - 1
VIL
28%
29%
43%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SML
1 - 0
DRA
27%
25%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
PAU
3 - 0
DRA
58%
25%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
DRA
1 - 1
LMU
23%
29%
49%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |