QRM vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
QUE
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 3
PSG
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
QUE
19%
25%
57%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
IVR
2 - 1
QUE
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
DIE
0 - 2
QUE
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
AAC
2 - 0
DRA
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 1
DRA
53%
26%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
DRA
0 - 0
PSG
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
DRA
36%
29%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DRA
0 - 1
ASB
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |