QRM vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 0
QUE
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
QUE
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 1
IVR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
PSG
2 - 0
QUE
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 2
QUE
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
CAL
49%
27%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
LEN
33%
26%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LIL
0 - 0
CAL
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
MAN
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ASB
4 - 1
CAL
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |