QRM vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 1
BAS
12%
19%
70%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
IVR
1 - 2
QUE
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
QUE
3 - 3
ORL
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 3
PSG
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 2
ROM
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAL
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
IRI
2 - 0
CAL
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 2
DIE
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
USB
4 - 1
CAL
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ROY
0 - 2
CAL
59%
24%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |