QRM vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
STA
1 - 0
QUE
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
QUE
1 - 1
VCH
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
GUI
0 - 1
QUE
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
COM
2 - 3
QUE
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
QUE
2 - 2
FCR
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 3
LEH
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
RED
1 - 0
CAE
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 3
FCR
38%
28%
34%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
LEN
0 - 2
CAE
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
CAE
2 - 1
DUN
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |