QRM vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
RED
0 - 0
QUE
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
FBB
1 - 1
QUE
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
QUE
1 - 1
ANN
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 0
QUE
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
QUE
3 - 1
LYO
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 4
BAS
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 1
ANN
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 0
LYO
64%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
BAS
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
STL
0 - 1
BAS
28%
26%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |