QRM vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
69.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
IVR
1 - 2
QUE
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
QUE
3 - 3
ORL
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 3
PSG
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 2
ROM
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SAI
1 - 2
QUE
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
BAS
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
REN
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
4 - 2
PSG
15%
21%
64%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 0
LIL
40%
27%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 1
BAS
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |