QRM vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
BOU
0 - 1
QUE
38%
26%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
QUE
2 - 0
LMU
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 1
QUE
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
QUE
2 - 2
RED
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
LYO
0 - 3
QUE
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 2
AVR
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
AVR
2 - 1
STL
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
SÈT
0 - 0
AVR
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
AVR
1 - 2
VIL
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
USB
0 - 1
AVR
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |