QRM vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
ORL
3 - 4
QUE
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 1
CON
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
QUE
1 - 0
LUS
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
STL
1 - 2
QUE
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
SÈT
0 - 1
QUE
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ANN
3 - 2
AVR
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
AVR
1 - 2
ORL
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 0
AVR
44%
26%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
AVR
1 - 1
LYO
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
FBB
3 - 0
AVR
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |