QRM vs Avion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
QUE
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
QUE
2 - 2
RED
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 1
QUE
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NOI
2 - 4
QUE
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
QUE
2 - 1
AUB
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
AUB
1 - 1
AVI
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AVI
0 - 1
CAB
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
POI
0 - 1
AVI
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AVI
1 - 1
LIL
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
DRA
2 - 0
AVI
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |