QRM vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
ASB
0 - 1
QUE
18%
22%
60%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
QUE
2 - 4
LMU
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
VER
0 - 0
QUE
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 0
QUE
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
QUE
1 - 0
SOC
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
AJA
3 - 1
FUR
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
PFC
2 - 0
AJA
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 1
LOR
15%
24%
61%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
ANN
2 - 0
AJA
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
AJA
1 - 1
PAU
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |