QRM vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
42.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 1
QUE
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
QUE
0 - 2
LHA
30%
28%
43%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
AUX
1 - 0
QUE
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 1
VAL
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PFC
3 - 0
QUE
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 1
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NIO
0 - 1
AJA
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
ROD
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SOC
0 - 1
AJA
45%
28%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 1
GUI
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |