QRM II vs Evry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BOU
4 - 1
QUE
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
QUE
0 - 3
AMI
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SAI
1 - 1
QUE
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
LEH
3 - 0
QUE
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 1
GRA
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Evry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
EVR
2 - 3
OIS
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
4 - 0
EVR
70%
18%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
EVR
1 - 3
CAE
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
COM
0 - 3
EVR
34%
25%
40%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
EVR
1 - 2
SED
12%
20%
69%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | -1 |