QRM II vs Caen PTT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
14º
13º
35
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OIS
1 - 0
QUE
60%
22%
19%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 0
SAI
57%
21%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VHO
3 - 2
QUE
24%
21%
54%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 1
DIV
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
DIV
2 - 1
QUE
46%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
SAI
64%
18%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DIV
1 - 1
CAE
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 1
CAE
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 1
CAE
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 2
CAE
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |