QRM II vs Bayeux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
27%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
DIV
0 - 1
QUE
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 0
AVR
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
DIV
1 - 0
QUE
62%
20%
19%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
QUE
0 - 5
AGC
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
LEH
2 - 1
QUE
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BAY
0 - 0
AGC
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
AFV
3 - 0
BAY
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SAI
3 - 1
BAY
75%
15%
11%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BAY
2 - 2
OIS
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
AVR
2 - 1
BAY
60%
19%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |