QRM II vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
47.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
4 - 0
QUE
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 1
NOI
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
QUE
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 3
AMI
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GRA
4 - 0
QUE
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 1
SAI
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
ARR
33%
26%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
AMI
3 - 1
BAS
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOI
0 - 0
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |