QRM II vs Avranches II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
QUE
5 - 0
SAI
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 3
QUE
77%
15%
9%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
QUE
2 - 4
GON
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
FCR
3 - 0
QUE
89%
10%
2%
|
24 | 59 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
QUE
4 - 0
BAY
52%
20%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 1
AVR
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SAI
2 - 1
AVR
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 1
AVR
72%
16%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
AVR
3 - 4
ALA
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GON
2 - 0
AVR
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |