QRM II vs Avranches II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LMU
1 - 2
QUE
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 1
AUB
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BOU
2 - 0
QUE
49%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
QUE
0 - 2
EVR
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 2
CAE
47%
21%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AVR
2 - 2
CAE
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
UJA
0 - 0
AVR
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AVR
1 - 2
DRO
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AVO
2 - 1
AVR
81%
12%
6%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AVR
0 - 2
STP
15%
18%
66%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |