QRM II vs AG Caennaise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
14º
13º
32
3º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
QUE
2 - 1
DIE
24%
24%
53%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 0
QUE
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 2
OIS
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 1
VHO
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 0
QUE
53%
23%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
AGC
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
OIS
3 - 1
AGC
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AGC
1 - 3
VHO
50%
21%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 2
AGC
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LEH
0 - 2
AGC
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |