QRM II vs AG Caennaise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
46.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
9º
7º
40
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MGA
2 - 2
QUE
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
2 - 4
AFV
18%
18%
64%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 0
QUE
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 0
AVR
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
QUE
2 - 1
GON
59%
21%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GON
1 - 3
AGC
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AGC
2 - 1
MGA
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 1
AGC
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AGC
1 - 2
AFV
34%
22%
45%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DIE
0 - 1
AGC
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |