QRM II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
NOI
1 - 3
QUE
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
QUE
6 - 1
MAR
31%
24%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AMI
0 - 0
QUE
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
QUE
2 - 0
GRA
24%
25%
51%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +3 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
OIS
1 - 0
QUE
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 3
ARR
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOI
1 - 3
ARR
33%
27%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AMI
2 - 3
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |