Quesos Kumey vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
79.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quesos Kumey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
UNI
5 - 1
QUK
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
QUK
0 - 1
PUE
17%
23%
61%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
CDP
2 - 0
QUK
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
QUK
3 - 1
CDP
11%
18%
71%
|
13 | 51 | 38 | +11 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
HUA
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
UCO
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
USF
1 - 3
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCO
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |