Querétaro vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
QRO
2 - 0
MAZ
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
PAC
2 - 2
QRO
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
QRO
0 - 2
PUE
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
QRO
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
QRO
1 - 3
PUM
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 4
CAZ
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 1
TOL
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MAZ
1 - 2
TOL
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
PUM
5 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |