Querétaro vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
40.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TIJ
0 - 1
QRO
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 0
QRO
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 0
MON
23%
27%
50%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 1
MOR
29%
26%
46%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
QRO
0 - 0
ATS
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
BSC
0 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
ATS
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 1
BSC
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 1
JAG
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |