Querétaro vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
TIG
1 - 2
QRO
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
QRO
1 - 1
IRA
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
QRO
2 - 2
MOR
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PAC
2 - 2
QRO
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
JAG
0 - 0
QRO
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 0
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PAC
1 - 0
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 1
JAG
79%
14%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 1
TOL
42%
25%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |