Queensland Lions FC vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NPI
1 - 2
QUE
17%
21%
63%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
QUE
2 - 3
PEN
48%
23%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
EAS
1 - 3
QUE
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
QUE
1 - 3
OLY
63%
19%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 2
QUE
14%
19%
67%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
UNI
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
NPI
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 6
RED
8%
14%
78%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 0
UNI
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 4
PEN
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |