Queensland Lions FC vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 6
QUE
20%
19%
61%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
QUE
2 - 0
EAS
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
QUE
0 - 2
BRI
6%
13%
80%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MIT
2 - 2
QUE
27%
20%
53%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
HPH
0 - 2
QUE
29%
20%
51%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
LOG
1 - 2
HPH
39%
21%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
IPS
3 - 2
LOG
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LOG
2 - 1
UNI
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 0
LOG
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
LOG
0 - 3
ALB
50%
23%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |