Queensland Lions FC vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 5
PEN
51%
23%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
QUE
2 - 1
ROC
51%
23%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 3
EAS
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -3 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CAP
0 - 4
QUE
17%
19%
64%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
QUE
2 - 0
ROC
52%
22%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOG
7 - 1
ALB
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LOG
6 - 1
NOR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 2
LOG
84%
10%
5%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LOG
2 - 0
BRI
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 4
LOG
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |