Queens University Belfast vs Tobermore United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
7º
3º
25
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 68% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queens University Belfast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
POR
2 - 3
QUB
29%
25%
47%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BRF
2 - 3
QUB
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
QUB
3 - 1
MOY
44%
23%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
QUB
1 - 2
BAN
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 4
QUB
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tobermore United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TOB
3 - 3
ARC
27%
22%
52%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
BRF
2 - 1
TOB
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TOB
4 - 0
PSN
55%
20%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 2
TOB
84%
11%
4%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
MOY
1 - 1
TOB
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |