Queens University Belfast vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queens University Belfast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2018 |
DER
3 - 1
QUB
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
QUB
0 - 1
DER
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
QUB
2 - 6
DUN
35%
25%
41%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
LIS
1 - 2
QUB
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
QUB
1 - 0
MOY
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
LIS
1 - 2
POR
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
MOY
0 - 2
LIS
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
LIS
1 - 2
QUB
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
LIS
1 - 0
BAN
44%
23%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
TOB
1 - 3
LIS
37%
24%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |