Queens University Belfast vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
7º
3º
53
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queens University Belfast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 4
QUB
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
DOL
1 - 2
QUB
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
QUB
1 - 1
LIM
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 1
QUB
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
QUB
3 - 2
PSN
78%
13%
9%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 2
BAN
33%
23%
44%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BCE
0 - 3
BAN
6%
11%
83%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 0
PSN
88%
8%
3%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
5 - 0
ARC
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BRF
1 - 1
BAN
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |