Quart vs Fbm Moncada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 3
QUA
32%
25%
43%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
QUA
0 - 0
CHE
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
REQ
1 - 0
QUA
51%
24%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 0
QUA
40%
25%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
QUA
2 - 1
TCF
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fbm Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
PAR
51%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MAS
1 - 0
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
BUÑ
37%
25%
39%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
MON
5 - 3
LLI
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
UTI
3 - 3
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |